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A computer
system has been "trained" to predict the outcome of
breast cancer cases, and thereby help doctors make decisions on
the best course of treatment, according to researchers at the
University of Newcastle upon Tyne in England.
In the study
of 100 women, the computer system correctly predicted in almost
nine out of ten cases whether the breast cancer would spread and
whether the women would survive for five years without a recurrence
of their cancer, researchers reported in New Scientist magazine.
The system
was trained to analyze images of cells from breast cancer biopsy
samples for patterns of abnormality that could be used to predict
the outcome of the disease. The
computer was then programmed to measure four "indicators"
of how aggressive the cancer might be. That information was fed
into the system to spot specific patterns and then was subjected
to fuzzy logic, which 'weights' the data to make it fit the patterns
as closely as possible.
Tissue samples
from 50 breast cancer patients were used to calibrate the system,
along with data about the outcome of the cases, such as recurrence
of the cancer and the five-year survival rate.
Data from
another 50 cases was then fed into the computer, which was asked
to predict which of the women would develop tumors in their lymph
glands. The computer's feedback was 88 percent accurate in that
analysis as well as in analyzing the patients' five-year survival
rate.
"The
results are promising but they would need to be confirmed by full-scale
trials before the technique could be introduced into hospitals,"
said Dr. Gajanan Sherbet, professor at the Institute of Molecular
Medicine in California and co-author of the study.
Researchers
are hopeful that this computer system will one day save lives
by helping physicians decide at an early stage which patient should
have intensive treatment.
Other
sources: University of Newcastle upon Tyne
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